Dem registration surges in Nevada

In 2004, Bush beat Kerry in Nevada by three points:

Bush 418,690
Kerry 397,190

At the time, Republicans held a one-point advantage in voter registration in the state. Today, Democrats have opened up a 5-point advantage, and it's growing.

According to the secretary of state's office, 55,560 more Democrats than Republicans are on the active voter rolls in Nevada, as of the end of June. The gap widened from 50,020 in May and represents 5 percent of the 1,031,984 active voters [...]

"That's a 6-point shift in just one presidential cycle," [Kirsten Searer, deputy executive director of the Nevada Democratic Party] said. "I think it's fair to say this is a trend at this point. It's very good news for Democrats up and down the ballot, from Assembly and Senate all the way to Congress."

Simple math shows that this 55,560-vote advantage is much larger than the difference in the popular vote in 2004. All things being equal, McCain would be in trouble. But, of course, all things aren't equal this year, and increased Democratic voter registration is yet another obstacle the GOP must face in what has become an impossible year for them.